Boston at Utah

Boston is approaching their season win total from last year already. They are 14-1 at home but have two road losses. Their defense at home is unreal but on the road, it is a different story. At home they allow 81.9 points per game. On the road they allow 91.7 - a full ten points more! They now travel to a face a team that is struggling, but is still 10-2 at home - a team that scores 106.7 ppg at home. They allow 92.4 per game at home, roughly equal to Boston's defense. So, the home team here scores 7 ppg more than the road team, while allowing about the same. Yet, the road team is favored by 6 points. That spells value. Utah is 35-26 the past two seasons vs. winning teams. They also fare very well vs. teams that utilize the three-point shot as a primary weapon. The Jazz are 20-5 at home vs. teams that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game over the past two seasons.