Boston at Orlando

Yes, Boston is 11-28 on the road this season. But, they are 26-11 ATS in those games! Orlando is 23-16 at home but under .500 ATS. Orlando will win, but by 13 points? We think not. Boston is 16-7 ATS vs. winning teams on the road and a perfect 10-0 ATS as double-digit road dog! This line is inflated thanks to Boston's terrible play of late (lost six in a row). But, the Celts are also a perfect 10-0 ATS this season on the road after 4+ straight losses. Orlando is 15-7 UNDER in games with a total posted between 190-200 and 26-17 UNDER as a favorite (including 12-2 UNDER when favored at home by 6.5-12 points). The Magic are also 16-5 UNDER at home vs. losing teams including 8-1 UNDER vs. teams under 40% SU.