Boston at Brooklyn

Boston have won two games in a row for only the second time this season. A third straight win will very likely elude them here but I like them to keep it closer than this number. Want a very simple system? Road underdogs that shoot the rock well (>47.5%) vs. average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) are 42-18 (70%) since 1996. While New Jersey is 11-6 at home, they are just 7-9 ATS and this is a large spread. The Nets' offense has dropped off significantly over their last give gams (down from 96 to 88) and Boston will score here as they average 101 per game on the road and 108 in division games. Boston for two stars.