Boston at Miami

The Miami heat took control of the series winning the opener in a relatively calm fashion, taking out the Celtics by 14 points. Boston has had all kinds of problems scoring and that has limited them to 87 points or less in nine of their playoof games already. Ray Allen and his bad ankles have reduced him to less than ten points per game, shooting below 40%, and below 30% from deep. This has taken away a big Boston weapon. They also will not have Avery Bradley again as he is done for the year. He was a huge catalyst in Boston's big second half of the season. This team is aging and has been reduced to playing strong on one end of the floor, the defensive end. Miami is playing a lot more focused, learning from last year, and are taking care of business at home where they are 5-1 ATS. The Heat are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 as playoff favorites, including 10-3 ATS when the line is 5-10.5. Boston has shown little bite as a playoff dog at 3-8 ATS in their last 11, including 0-4 ATS as a dog of 5-10.5. The Heat can bring the defense as well as they are now 25-8 to the UNDER in their last 33 as a home favorite, including 10-2 to the UNDER as a chalk from 5-10.5. Boston is producing a 12-4 UNDER mark in their last 16 conference final games. Play on Miami and the UNDER in this one.