Boston at Miami

The Boston Celtics missed an opportunity to knot this series at home and instead face elimination tonight on the road in Miami. The problem here is the Celtics hung it all on the line in game four with all three of their stars logging 40+ minutes. The significance here is the trio combined logged 40+ minutes after the all-star break, when minutes and legs begin to matter for aging players, a total of seven times. Boston was 1-6 ATS this year facing a team with a winning percentage of >.650 with just one day rest. Miami put this team together to win a championship and they will have the look in their eyes tonight. The Celtics are now also 0-5 ATS on the road in their last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage of >.600. The offense has not been brilliant off a single day of rest leading to 14 of 18 going UNDER for Boston off a days rest. The Heat is also 9-4 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning percentage of >.600. I like Miami and the UNDER in this one.