This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2024 at 11:50AM ET.
img NBA

Boston at Miami

April 29, 2024
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami, as expected, cooled off exceptionally from 3-point territory and hit only nine of 28 from beyond the arc and Boston cruised to a 104-84 win to take a 2-1 lead in the series. The Heat shot just 42 percent overall and scored only 39 points in the first half. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown each scored 22 points and Miami lost for the fifth time in six games to Boston this season. The game went UNDER by 18 points and seven of the past 10 meetings have gone UNDER. The Heat are 9-2 UNDER against teams with .600 winning percentages and 19-7 UNDER as underdogs, including the past six at home. Miami is 1-12 ATS as a home underdog and the Celtics are 9-3 ATS their past 12 first round games. The Heat are 60-40 UNDER in the first half their past 100 games. Boston won't have a letdown after losing in seven games to Miami last year. Take the Celtics as a Max Play and the first half UNDER as a Max Play and also the full game to go UNDER.

2 units on Boston -10 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 104.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 203.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics img
34
19
28
21
102
Miami Heat
24
12
23
29
88
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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