This pick was released to clients on April 27, 2024 at 11:22AM ET.
img NBA

Boston at Miami

April 27, 2024
img6:03 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami hit 23 3-pointers while shooting 53.4 percent from beyond the arc and stunned the Celtics 111-101 to even the series at one apiece. The Heat are playing without injured Jimmy Butler and getting hot from long range was their best chance of winning as a 14-point underdog. However, the chances of it happening in consecutive games are slim especially with Boston cracking down on its perimeter defense after Wednesday's onslaught. Even with all the 3s the game still missed staying UNDER by only 6.5 points and the Heat have gone UNDER five straight as home underdogs and 21 of 29 overall following a win. Miami is 8-2 UNDER against teams with .600 winning percentages and 11-4-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Boston has covered seven of 10 as a road favorite and it is 10-4-2 ATS as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Celtics as a Max Play and the full game UNDER.

2 units on Boston -9 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 205 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics img
21
42
24
17
104
Miami Heat
12
27
22
23
84
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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