Boston at Indiana

Both teams played last night, but that's a worse situation for the aging Celtics and better for the young Pacers, who also have home court. Boston (4-6) is off another loss, their third straight, with the offense struggling again. The Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games playing on no day’s rest. The Pacers had a nice win at Toronto last night, 95-90, despite losing Danny Granger to an ejection. He's a hard working post player and will have fresh legs for this one. The Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and have yet to lose at home this season. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Indiana. Play the Pacers. In addition, this total is too low. Boston brings its terrific defense at home, but is not as strong on the road. We saw that when they opened this season with three straight road games, losing all three while allowing 106, 115 and 97 points. In their two back-to-back spots this season, both games went OVER the total in a 100-92 victory over the Wizards and a 97-87 loss at New Orleans. The OVER is 6-0 in the Celtics last six games as a road underdog, 7-1 OVER the total in their last eight games as an underdog. Plus the OVER is 4-1 in the Pacers last five against a team with a losing straight-up record. Play on the Pacers and take the OVER the total.