Boston at Indiana

Boston plays hard for their first-year head coach. They are great on defense and are overachieving. Boston is #6 in the NBA in points allowed, and are 5-1 ATS following a spread loss. The Celtics are also 5-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home record. Indiana is a big favorite, but is #20 in the NBA in scoring as they are a defensive-first team. Indiana is off a big win over Houston, but the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when following a win. Indiana is 3-3 straight-up and ATS over their last six games and has to play tomorrow on the road at Brooklyn, so don't look for them to get into blowout mode with a game on deck. Boston is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and the Celtics are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Indiana, so look for a closer one than oddsmakers expect. Play on the Celtics.