This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:27PM ET.
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Boston at Indiana

April 28, 2005
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Indiana backers are on a profitable 12-5-1 against-the-number run last seventeen games and may stay with the program knowing Pacers are 10-2 (9-3 ATS) in their last twelve meetings and 8-1 against-the-spread after allowing 80 points or less. Including post season the Pacers own a solid 8-2 (6-4 ATS) mark last three years on home hardwood vs. Celtics which should give backers added fuel. Then again, the health of O'Neil raises a flag along with Pacers 8-11-1 ATS record when laying four or less including 3-5 ATS last eight giving less than three points. Trend players eyeing the total have a tough one. It's no secret that UNDER bettors following the Pacers and Celtics have had a profitable run seeing Pacers go 12-1 UNDER their last twelve on the court with the Celtics a cash grabbing 9-1 UNDER it's last ten. However, sportsbooks have opened game even lower than before at 182 - still a number crushed in seven of last nine meetings including three times in last seasons round-one battle. Part of the reason the Pacers go UNDER so often is that they pass the ball poorly averaging just 18 assists per game. They play stagnant basketball. Games featuring a total of 180 and 189.5 points and a poor passing team have gone UNDER 68% of the time (75-35) in April games over the last 5 seasons. We'll keep with the thrends and go two stars on the UNDER here.

2 units on Game Total UNDER 182 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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