Boston at Cleveland

The Celtics had the best road mark (27-14) in the Eastern Conference during the regular season, then won two at Miami, 104-84 and 102-88, in the playoffs. Boston's defense was fifth in points given up and second in shooting allowed during the regular season, while the offense was second in points scored and 3-point shooting. The Celtics are 91-63 ATS off a double-digit home loss, 97-70 ATS against winning teams, and 31-19 UNDER the total on the road versus winning teams. In addition, NBA road favorites off a double-digit loss as a favorite are 25-4 ATS revenging a home loss to an opponent. Cleveland shocked the NBA world with a win in Game 2, though they are on a 7-8 SU, 6-9 spread run. That includes a 120-110 home loss to Charlotte as a 14-point favorite and an ugly Game 1 loss to Boston, 120-95. The Cavaliers focus on defense with an offense that was 20th in points scored, 15th from long range, and 22nd from the free throw line. Cleveland is 21-31 ATS after a victory and 50-30 UNDER the total at home after a win by 20+ points. Play Boston and UNDER the total.