Boston at Atlanta

The Atlanta Hawks have put themselves behind the eight ball, down 3 games to 1 in their opening round series vs. Boston. They were a victim of out of the ordinary shooting in Game 4, as the Celtics shot 51.2% and knocked down 11 threes to do the Hawks in. The Hawks also turned the ball over an uncharacteristic 17 times in Game 4, and I would expect a much better effort tonight, facing elimination. The Hawks have to get back to what they do best and score in the paint, where they have had a huge advantage in the last three games. Note that while Boston is 26-9 straight-up at home this season, they are just 16-19 on the road. Also with Doc Rivers at the helm, Boston is just 6-15 straight-up on the road when leading a playoffs series. Atlanta has also won 69% of their home games this year (24-11). Atlanta is also 11-3 straight-up this season at home in expected low-scoring games (game with a total under 180). Atlanta gets back into the series tonight, so play the Hawks on the moneyline.