Boston at Atlanta

During the regular season, Boston's defense was outstanding, fifth in points given up and field goal shooting allowed, and fourth at defending the 3-pointer. After a bad defensive performance in Game 3, the Celtics won and covered Game 4 at Atlanta, 129-121, allowing 43.9% shooting as they held Trae Young (11-of-26 shooting) in check. The Celtics were cruising in Game 5 about to end the series when the defense fell apart down the stretch in a stunning Hawks comeback. Expect the defense to bounce back after giving up 37 fourth-quarter points. The Celtics are on a 55-38 ATS run on the road, 8-2 ATS after surrendering 100+ points, and 21-6 ATS versus teams that allow 48% shooting or higher. Atlanta's defense was 26th in points surrendered and 25th in field goal shooting allowed. The defense has allowed Boston to shoot 47.7%, 55.8%, 48.9%, 51.7%, and 53.3% in the five games. The Hawks are 15-28 ATS after a victory, 10-24 ATS after having won two of three, 7-19 ATS off an upset win as a dog, plus 18-31 ATS against teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ points per contest. With the Celtics 8-2 SU/ATS in the last 10 meetings versus Atlanta, back the No. 2 seed to wrap up this series. Play Boston.