This pick was released to clients on April 23, 2024 at 12:48PM ET.
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Boston at Atlanta

April 23, 2023
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

During the regular season, Boston's defense was outstanding, fifth in points given up and field goal shooting allowed, and fourth at defending the 3-pointer. That defense wasn't around in Game three, a 130-122 loss allowing 56% shooting from the field and 44.1% from long range. They will bounce back with a far better defensive effort, one that held Atlanta star Trae Young to 14-for-40 shooting in Games 1 and 2. The Celtics also got Grant Williams back after missing the first two games and he had 14 points in 18 minutes. The Celtics are 11-0 ATS after allowing 125+ points, while NBA road favorites like Boston off a loss as chalk are 70-31 ATS when revenging a defeat where the opponent topped 110 points. Atlanta's defense was 26th in points surrendered and 25th in field goal shooting allowed. The Hawks are 6-18 ATS off a home win, plus 27-42 ATS against teams that shoot 36%+ from long range. The Celtics are on a 7-1 SU/ATS run versus Atlanta, and NBA teams like the Hawks that are trailing in a playoff series are 10-35 ATS when they have a winning percentage between 45-55%. Play Boston as a Max Play.

2 units on Boston -6 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics img
35
30
27
37
129
Atlanta Hawks
25
28
34
34
121
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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