Atlanta at Utah

The Utah Jazz has long enjoyed one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA. They have done so because of the altitude, the extremely loud acoustics, and having a competitive team. The Jazz since the 2006 season have been 195-54 as a home favorite straight-up, and 19-5 this year. They have also covered 54.6% of all those games. Tonight they take on an Atlanta team that has been playing well, and has won their last four road games. The caveat is that those four road opponents were all under .500. The fact is they have been horrible on the road vs. winning teams where they carry a 1-8 straight-up record in their last nine. While the offense has been playing well, we look again to how this offense has performed on the road in those nine games vs. winning teams. The Hawks have stumbled to an offensive output that has produced an average of less than 90 points per game. That makes for a lot of things that appear better for this team than the situation they face tonight. The Jazz is now 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at home vs. a winning team, and the UNDER has been 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Utah. Atlanta is 67-42 to the UNDER the past three seasons when facing a winning team. Over that same span, they are 57-37 UNDER as an underdog. And, this season the Hawks are 18-9 UNDER vs. good free-throw shooting teams like Utah (teams making over 75% from the line). Play on Utah and take the UNDER.