Atlanta at Toronto

There is no better road team in the East than the Atlanta Hawks, having won five of seven. After starting the season 6-0, this team went on to lose seven of nine. But, they are back to their winning ways, having dispatched of their last two opponents by an average score of 108-93. The Hawks can outscore Toronto, and Atlanta has a better defense. The Hawks are 24-13 ATS the past two seasons vs. poor defensive teams (those allowing 46%+ from the field). Meanwhile, Toronto is 15-30 ATS over the past three years vs. good shooting teams (those averaging 46%+ from the field). Toronto is also just 9-23 ATS the past three seasons as a home dog of up to 6 points. They are also 9-22 ATS since last season when coming off a road loss. I like the Hawks here.