Atlanta at San Antonio

The San Antonio Spurs are playing with a shortened roster, and I look for them to slow things down and rely on their defense, which is pretty good. They have played very well on the defensive end, allowing just 93.7 points per game, not counting overtime minutes. Overall they have gotten into playoffs mode, and have played 12 of their last 16 to the UNDER. The Hawks' offense is averaging just 97.6 ppg over their last 10. I expect them to get even less here, as they have trended down by playing four straight UNDERs, and are 37-17 to the UNDER in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning percentage over .600. The Spurs always come reasdy to play defense after a loss, and are 13-3 in their last 16 when following one. Play the UNDER.