Atlanta at Philadelphia

The last three games of this series have gone UNDER by an average of 17.3 points, and both teams shot only 41% on Friday night. Now the series goes back to Philadelphia for Game 7, and the 76ers are 9-4 ATS their past 13 games as home favorites while the Hawks are 3-7 ATS their past 10 road games. Home teams in Game 7s in the NBA Playoffs are 70-17 straight up and 48-37-2 ATS since 1982. The Sixers blew a huge, 22-point halftime lead at home in Game 5, and they won't let that happen again as they have covered four of the last five meetings at home against Atlanta. The UNDER is 9-2 in the Hawks' past 11 playoff games as underdogs, and they have stayed UNDER five of their last six road games. Look for those trends to continue. Take the 76ers and the UNDER.