Atlanta at Cleveland

Atlanta plays its fourth road game over the last five contests with the defense looking gassed. They've lost three straight while surrendering 130 and 131 points in the last two. Atlanta's roster has been hit hard by COVID, sapping the depth and defense. The Hawks are 25-11 OVER the total after having lost four of five, plus 7-1 OVER against winning teams. Cleveland is delighted to be home after playing four of five on the road. They've scored 124 and 144 points in their last two home games. With the Cavs 11-2 OVER the total at home when playing six or fewer games in 14 days, look for an offensive show. Play the OVER.