Atlanta at Brooklyn

The Hawks just don't look right. After steamrolling through the regular season, they have failed to cover the spread in all three palyoff games. They have failed to cover now for six straight games. They are averaging just 92.7 points on 39% shooting so far vs. the Nets. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has covered 11 of their last 16 and four straight. They aren't scoring a lot, but their defense has been great. They have a shot at winning this game at home, so getting points provides a lot of value as it should be a close game at a minimum. Part of the problem for Atlanta is that they struggle mightily vs. good ball-handing teams like Brooklyn. The Hawks have gone 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games this season vs. teams like the Nets who commit under 15 turnovers per game. Brooklyn is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games this season vs. elite teams like Atlanta (teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points per game). The Hawks are 54-30 UNDER in the first-half this season, including 24-14 UNDER to a total in the 95.5 to 100.5 range, and 42-19 UNDER as a favorite. Brooklyn is 26-16 UNDER this season vs. winning teams and 25-11 UNDER vs. good three-point shooting teams like Atlanta (teams making 36%+ from beyond the arc). Atalnta is 35-26 UNDER as a favorite this season, including 24-12 UNDER as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Take Brooklyn, the first-half UNDER, and the full-game UNDER.