Golden State will lean on defense today with its season on the line. The Warriors were third in the NBA during the regular season in field goal shooting defense and 33-16-2 UNDER the total following a defeat. Will it be enough, though? Golden State dropped Games 3 and 4 at home while dealing with a variety of injuries, and star Kevin Durant (calf) is still hurting. The Warriors are 16-33-2 ATS against the Atlantic Division and face a terrific all-around team in Toronto. The Raptors will be sky-high at home with a chance to win their first NBA title. Toronto can play stellar defense, too. Toronto was ninth during the regular season in points allowed, fifth in field goal shooting (.449), and eighth at defending beyond the arc. The Raptors have an edge by putting Kyle Lowry and backup point guard Fred VanVleet on the court together at times and bringing an elite defensive lineup with center Serge Ibaka coming off the bench. Toronto is 33-16-2 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record, including 19-7-1 ATS at home versus an opponent with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Parlay Toronto and the UNDER in this one.