Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia is on a losing streak, but the Bucks shouldn't be laying this many points on the road as they have lost four of five and six of nine themselves. Milwaukee has lost five of six to Eastern Conference opponents let alone having to cover a huge point spread. Milwaukee does come off a 133-123 win over Phoenix while shooting an incredible 69 percent and 59 percent on 3-point tries, which inflated the posted total for this matchup. The chances of even coming close to that percentage in consecutive games is extremely unlikely. The 76ers have gone UNDER 10 of 15 Thursday home games. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been bothered by a foot injury and is day-to-day and Damian Lillard is out indefinitely for the Bucks. Philadelphia has gone UNDER three of five, including by 23 points against New York on Tuesday. Take the 76ers and the UNDER.

The teams have met twice this season and both have gone OVER, including Milwaukee's 123-109 win on Jan. 19. The 76ers have gone OVER four of their past five games following their 125-112 defeat against Detroit, which went OVER by 15 points on Friday. The Bucks are shooting 48.1 percent and 38.7 from 3-point distance this season. They have gone OVER six of seven against the Atlantic Division and Philadelphia is 5-0 OVER as a road favorite. Also, the Sixers are 6-0 OVER with one day of rest and 6-0 OVER following a loss. Philadelphia is 29-21-1 OVER in 2024-25. Milwaukee has allowed 125 points or more in four of its past six games. Take the OVER.

Philadelphia catches the Bucks on the right day of the week if it wants to snap its ATS losing streak. Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS its past five Sunday games, including a 34-point loss to the Knicks last week. This is the first meeting since the season opener when the Bucks won 130-112 and then proceeded to lose seven of their next eight games. They have won 21 of 30 since, but this is just the fifth time the Bucks are laying double digits. The 76ers are battling injuries, but their past five losses have been by an average of 9.6 points. Take the big points with the 76ers.

Milwaukee was a great team at home last season but just 18-22 on the road. The playoff injury to star Giannis Antetokounmpo exposed the team's lack of depth. They didn't do much in the offseason to address those issues because of the salary cap. The defense was 21st in points given up and 14th in field goal shooting allowed. Philadelphia opens the new season at home where they were 25-16 last year. The 76ers added Andre Drummond up front which helps here as Joel Embiid (knee) will sit this week. They were ninth defensively in points given up, 11th in field goal shooting allowed, and sixth at defending beyond the arc. Philadelphia is on a 13-4 spread run, so back home court. Play Philadelphia.