It's the fourth straight road game for Miami, a long way from home. They're banged up with injuries plus leading-scorer Jimmy Butler (21.4 points per game) is out (suspension). Miami is 27th in the league in points scored and 24th in shooting. Miami is 13-24 ATS against teams that allow 48% shooting or higher. Sacramento is home and has won 10 of 15. They're seventh in the NBA in points scored (118.6 per game) and 10th in shooting (48.4%). NBA underdogs like Miami off two straight wins as road underdogs are 43-85 ATS in the second half of the season, so back home court. Play Sacramento.
Previous Matchups & Picks
November 4, 2024 8:15pm ET
@
Sacramento Kings
#555
Miami Heat
#556
Lines & Odds
+1 (-115)
ATS
-1 (-105)
-107
Moneyline
-113
OVER 224.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 224.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -1 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 112.9 to 112.8, Sacramento winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings 
22
26
37
26
111
Miami Heat
25
36
17
32
110
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February 26, 2024 10:10pm ET
@
Miami Heat
#579
Sacramento Kings
#580
Lines & Odds
+7.5 (-110)
ATS
-7.5 (-110)
+230
Moneyline
-286
OVER 223.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 223.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the +7.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Sacramento would win by a score of 114.1 to 109.9 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on February 26, 2024 at 11:57AM ET.
NBA
Miami at Sacramento
February 26, 2024
10:10 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
32
33
36
20
121
Sacramento Kings
33
29
19
29
110
January 31, 2024 7:40pm ET
@
Sacramento Kings
#571
Miami Heat
#572
Lines & Odds
+2.5 (-115)
ATS
-2.5 (-105)
+112
Moneyline
-133
OVER 228.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 228.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Sacramento Kings on the +2.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Sacramento would win by a score of 116.6 to 115.4 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings
22
33
29
22
106
Miami Heat
28
31
31
25
115
November 2, 2022 7:40pm ET
@
Sacramento Kings
#507
Miami Heat
#508
Lines & Odds
+4.5 (-110)
ATS
-4.5 (-110)
+164
Moneyline
-190
OVER 220.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 220.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -4.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 113.1 to 107.5 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings
32
19
25
31
107
Miami Heat
33
20
24
33
110
October 29, 2022 6:10pm ET
@
Miami Heat
#523
Sacramento Kings
#524
Lines & Odds
-4 (-110)
ATS
+4 (-110)
-171
Moneyline
+148
OVER 227.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 227.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -4 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 115.0 to 110.3 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
23
26
33
31
113
Sacramento Kings
32
39
19
29
119
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