Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio is a home underdog due to Victor Wembanyama being out for the season due to a blood clot, but the Spurs still have plenty of young talent, and they come off a 120-109 win over Phoenix last night. De'Aaron Fox scored 11 straight points in the final three minutes and finished with 26 for the Spurs, who shot 47 percent and went 15-for-41 from 3-point range. Detroit has lost 15 of the past 19 meetings, and the Pistons have lost 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings. San Antonio has covered six straight at home against the Pistons. The Spurs are 4-2 ATS their past six games as underdogs. Detroit has won four in a row but against teams with a combined record of 56-109. Take the Spurs.

Detroit comes off a 107-89 victory over a short-handed Dallas team that rested some starters as it neared the end of the regular season, but it was a win nonetheless for the Pistons, who would like to end its disappointing season with at least some kind of momentum heading into next year. Marcus Sasser scored 24 points for Detroit, which shot 48 percent and the game went UNDER by 21.5 points. Victor Wembanyama will not play in this game in order to rest his right ankle and the Spurs are unlikely to duplicate their unlikely win over Denver on Friday night when they erased a 23-point deficit. The Spurs scored only 89 points and lost by 38 their previous game against Oklahoma City. San Antonio has gone UNDER six of seven home games against teams with losing road records and they are 6-1 UNDER versus opponents with below .400 winning percentages. Detroit is 20-9-1 UNDER its past 30 games. Take the Pistons on the moneyline and the UNDER.

Someone has to win this game and we're going with the team with the rookie phenom Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 19.3 points, 10.1 rebounds and 3.3 blocks in only 29.2 minutes of playing time per game. Wembanyama scored 27 points and pulled down nine rebounds with five blocked shots in a recent game Milwaukee on Thursday. San Antonio is 7-3 ATS the past 10 meetings and they have covered the number their past three games overall. Detroit, of course, could finish as one of the worst teams in NBA history as it is currently is 3-34, including a 28-game losing streak. The Pistons have lost their past two games by an average of 19 points to Denver and Sacramento. Detroit is #28 in the league in 3-point shooting and #20 overall from the field. The Pistons are 3-10 ATS after a double-digit loss at home. Take the Spurs as a Max Play. 

There isn't a lot to pick and choose between these teams as they both own just 14 wins on the season, and both are playing poorly coming into this contest. The Pistons are a dangerous take as a home favorite and have failed to cover either of their 2 games this season in the role of a favorite at home. The Pistons have just 7 home wins, and they have been dreadful at home to the line as they are a woeful 9-17-1 ATS at home. (4-11 ATS in their last 15). San Antonio is no bargain, but the numbers are so bad for Detroit, they aren't an option. Make the play on San Antonio.

Detroit had a rare win on Wednesday when Saddiq Bey hit a desperation 3-pointer at the buzzer and the Pistons upset Golden State 122-119. However, the Pistons haven't won two in a row since Nov. 23 and San Antonio has won and covered six of the past seven meetings. Detroit is playing its fifth road game in eight days and they are 3-6 ATS their past nine games. The Spurs have covered five of their past nine home games and they are 4-1 ATS their past five overall with one day of rest. The Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS after a win and 3-7 ATS against teams with losing records. The linemakers can't seem to make the totals high enough for these teams, but the Pistons are more likely to be closer to the 41.2 percent they shot at Portland before their 48.9 percent performance two nights later against the Warriors. Both teams average nearly 112 points per game. Five of the past seven meetings at San Antonio have gone UNDER. Play the Spurs and the UNDER.