The Dallas Mavericks currently hold the final spot in the NBA West play-in round. They lead 11th-place Phoenix by four games. They are also tied with Sacramento for that final spot. Sacramento seemed to get the wakeup call after allowing 140 points to lowly New Orleans, followed by 132 points to Golden St. Their wakeup call has been received as the Kings have allowed a very stingy 97ppg over their last three contests. This is a high total in a game involving a team like the Kings trending sharply UNDER. Dallas has trended down as well, as they have played four of their last five to the UNDER, as they have scored just over 105ppg in the five games. I like this one UNDER the total.
Upcoming Matchup & Picks
April 16, 2025 10:00pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#585
Sacramento Kings
#586
Lines & Odds
+4.5 (-110)
ATS
-4.5 (-110)
+161
Moneyline
-193
OVER 214 (-110)
Total
UNDER 214 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 66% of the public bets are on Sacramento Kings on the -4.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets are on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Sacramento will win by a score of 112.9 to 107.1 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Previous Matchups & Picks
March 3, 2025 8:30pm ET
@
Sacramento Kings
#511
Dallas Mavericks
#512
Lines & Odds
-2 (-110)
ATS
+2 (-115)
-128
Moneyline
+107
OVER 231.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 231.5 (-112)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +2 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Sacramento would win by a score of 118.2 to 114.5 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on March 03, 2025 at 11:23AM ET.
NBA
Sacramento at Dallas
March 3, 2025
8:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings 
27
33
34
28
122
Dallas Mavericks
24
26
16
32
98
February 10, 2025 8:30pm ET
@
Sacramento Kings
#557
Dallas Mavericks
#558
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (-115)
ATS
+1.5 (-105)
-123
Moneyline
+103
OVER 238.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 238.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +1.5 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Sacramento would win by a score of 119.2 to 117.1 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
O
F
Sacramento Kings
27
34
26
29
13
129
Dallas Mavericks
35
26
32
23
12
128
December 30, 2024 10:00pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#575
Sacramento Kings
#576
Lines & Odds
+8 (-110)
ATS
-8 (-115)
+266
Moneyline
-334
OVER 223.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 223.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +8 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Sacramento would win by a score of 114.1 to 111.9 with Sacramento winning on the moneyline, Dallas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
37
23
17
23
100
Sacramento Kings
23
33
27
27
110
March 29, 2024 10:10pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#523
Sacramento Kings
#524
Lines & Odds
-1 (-110)
ATS
+1 (-110)
-119
Moneyline
-101
OVER 232.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 232.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -1 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 116.4 to 116.2, Sacramento winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on March 29, 2024 at 11:49AM ET.
NBA
Dallas at Sacramento
March 29, 2024
10:10 PM Eastern
An excellent situational spot for the home team. Dallas plays its third consecutive road game, as well as its seventh road game over the last 10 contests. They walked all over the Kings in the last game, 132-96. The offense is 27th from the free throw line, while the defense is 20th in points surrendered and shooting allowed, plus 18th at defending beyond the arc. Star Luka Doncic (33.9 points, 9.1 rebounds, 9.8 assists per game) has an Achilles injury and may not play. The Mavericks are 32-45 ATS after a victory and 0-9 ATS off a win as an underdog. Sacramento is a very good home team and has had two days to rest and regroup since being embarrassed by the Mavs. The Kings are ninth in the league in scoring (117.3 points per game) and 12th in shooting. They're 42-24 ATS after a defeat, 24-8 ATS off a home loss, 23-12 ATS off a loss as a favorite, and 17-6 ATS after a game where they allowed a 55% shooting or higher. Play Sacramento.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
26
25
22
34
107
Sacramento Kings
34
26
22
21
103
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