Dallas is 40-33-0 UNDER and Houston is 38-34-1 UNDER this season and the last meeting went UNDER by five points as Houston won 122-96 on Dec. 22. The Mavericks are 8-1 UNDER their past nine games, including the last six in a row and they have allowed only 102.2 points per game in that six-game span and they won all of them. The Mavericks' win over Sacramento on Friday stayed UNDER by 21.5 points. The Rockets went UNDER by 30 points while defeating Utah 101-100 and they are 23-8-1 UNDER at home versus teams with .600 road winning percentages. Dallas is 23-6 UNDER following a win and 21-8 UNDER after an ATS win. Play the UNDER as a Max Play.
Previous Matchups & Picks
April 7, 2024 3:30pm ET
@
Houston Rockets
#561
Dallas Mavericks
#562
Lines & Odds
+9 (-110)
ATS
-9 (-110)
+313
Moneyline
-402
OVER 227 (-110)
Total
UNDER 227 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -9 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 118.0 to 109.0 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Houston winning on the spread.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
O
F
Houston Rockets
42
29
35
23
7
136
Dallas Mavericks 
27
39
32
31
18
147
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March 31, 2024 7:10pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#543
Houston Rockets
#544
Lines & Odds
-3.5 (-110)
ATS
+3.5 (-110)
-164
Moneyline
+140
OVER 229 (-110)
Total
UNDER 229 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -3.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 116.7 to 114.3 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Houston winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on March 31, 2024 at 12:08PM ET.
NBA
Dallas at Houston
March 31, 2024
7:10 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 231 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
36
30
25
34
125
Houston Rockets
24
21
28
34
107
December 22, 2023 8:00pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#521
Houston Rockets
#522
Lines & Odds
+8.5 (-110)
ATS
-8.5 (-110)
+279
Moneyline
-352
OVER 222.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 222.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +8.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Houston would win by a score of 115.6 to 111.0 with Houston winning on the moneyline, Dallas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on December 22, 2023 at 11:35AM ET.
NBA
Dallas at Houston
December 22, 2023
8:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Dallas +8.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
Dallas has won eight of the past nine meetings, including 121-115 on Nov. 28 when Luka Doncic poured in 41 points for the Mavericks. Houston has lost three in a row and didn't cover the spread in any of them, including a 134-127 home loss to Atlanta on Wednesday as the Hawks shot 52 percent from the field. The Rockets have allowed an average of 132.3 points their past three games as the defense has broken down. Dallas is 9-5 straight up and ATS on the road and it has won five of eight although the Mavericks have dropped their past two games against Denver and the red-hot Los Angeles Clippers. Dallas is getting plenty of points due to Doncic being out with a quadriceps issue. Houston is 18-41-1 ATS its past 60 games after allowing more than 125 points its previous game and 2-5-1 ATS after scoring more than 125. Dallas can take advantage of the Rockets' leaky defense. Take the points with the Mavericks.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
17
22
21
36
96
Houston Rockets
23
33
33
33
122
November 28, 2023 8:30pm ET
@
Houston Rockets
#553
Dallas Mavericks
#554
Lines & Odds
+4 (-110)
ATS
-4 (-110)
+150
Moneyline
-175
OVER 228.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 228.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -4 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 119.5 to 113.5 with Dallas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Houston Rockets
22
28
38
27
115
Dallas Mavericks
29
25
30
37
121
January 2, 2023 8:10pm ET
@
Dallas Mavericks
#539
Houston Rockets
#540
Lines & Odds
-7.5 (-110)
ATS
+7.5 (-110)
-287
Moneyline
+236
OVER 227.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 227.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -7.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 116.1 to 109.9 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Houston winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on January 02, 2024 at 12:15PM ET.
NBA
Dallas at Houston
January 2, 2023
8:10 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 226.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
The fact that the lowly Houston Rockets are off a horrific offensive shooting performance vs the Knicks in their last game, the total here seems to be shaded a bit. The Rockets averaged 116.3ppg in their previous 3, so a poor shooting night at 37% had a lot to do with it. Dallas has been uptempo over their last 4 games, and Luka Doncic is in a zone making everything. The Mavericks have averaged 126.3ppg over those 4 games and have shot well over 50% in the 4 game average. These teams met just a few days ago and produced 243 total points, and I don't see this one being much differnet. Make the play over the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks
18
26
39
28
111
Houston Rockets
26
29
32
19
106
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