Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards

The Wizards and Nets have played poorly all season, but the Wizards are in last place in the East and tied with Utah for the worst record in the NBA. There is little incentive for either team, but actually more incentive for the Wizards to lose. Washington is also without Kris Middleton, Malcolm Brogdon, and Bilal Couliabaly. Those three players account for 37 points 12 rebounds, and 12 assists, which will be hard to make up for. The Nets have taken seven of the past 10 in this series, and I expect that trend to continue. Make the play on Brooklyn. 

Six of the past eight meetings have gone UNDER and the teams are meeting for the first time this season. Washington has gone UNDER six of nine and it has averaged only 100.6 points its past nine games. Brooklyn is on a 7-0 UNDER run and it has not scored 100 points in five of seven games, including its 99-97 win over Houston last night that stayed UNDER by 17.5 points. The Wizards score 107.3 points per game compared to 105.6 for the Nets. Washington shoots just 43.4 percent from the field and 33.0 percent from 3-point range. Brooklyn has stayed UNDER five straight playing on no rest. The Nets are 14-8 UNDER at home. Take the UNDER.

Brooklyn's defense has been very good, 14th in the NBA in points given up and 13th in field goal shooting allowed. They showcased that in the last game, shutting down Toronto in a 96-88 win. The Nets are 152-109 ATS on the road revenging a loss to an opponent. Washington plays no defense, last in the league in points surrendered (123.4 per game) and 29th in field goal shooting allowed (49.8%). They've won three in a row, though still on a 5-8 SU, 4-9 ATS run. Washington is getting outscored by -9.7 points per game, the second-worst differential in the NBA. Washington is on an 11-23 ATS run at home, including 9-19 ATS as a home dog. They're also 2-12 ATS at home after a game where they covered. Take Brooklyn as a Max Play.