This pick was released to clients on June 13, 2020 at 11:32AM ET.
img FIGHT

Louis Smolka vs. Casey Kenney

May 30, 2020
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a good matchup for Casey Kenney. He faces Louis Smolka, who is not a great athlete, short on physicality, and speed. He also lacks a wrestling base to take the fight to the ground. Smolka is 2-5 his last seven UFC fights, including four losses in a row. Smolka has defended 30% of his opponents' takedown attempts, a poor ratio. He faces lefty Casey Kenney, a superior athlete with a significant speed advantage. Kenney had won six fights in a row until the last one, losing to Merab Dvalishvili, who has outstanding power. Kenny faces a very different opponent here as Smolka has less athleticism and power. With Kenney possessing a takedown accuracy rate of 80%, this is a far better matchup for him. Back Casey Kenney to win the fight.

1 unit on Casey Kenney -265 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.38)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
F
Louis Smolka
0
Casey Kenney img
1
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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