This pick was released to clients on September 25, 2020 at 6:58PM ET.
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Brandon Royval vs. Kai Kara-France

September 26, 2020
img11:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Brandon Royval is off his lone UFC performance, beating Tim Elliott in May via submission (Arm-Triangle Choke). That's his style, to play the grappling game as he's not a puncher. The big matchup problems for him in this one are on defense, absorbing 2.05 significant strikes per minute, plus a 46% striking defense. He faces an aggressive, attacking puncher in Kai Kara-France, ranked No. 7 in the Flyweight division. Kara-France is on a 9-1 fight run, including 4-1 in the UFC. He brings a whopping 5.27 significant strikes per minute. He's not a knockout artist as he's more focused on peppering an opponent, but his stamina is outstanding with his last six bouts (and nine of his last 11) going the distance. Royval will look to take this fight to the ground, but Kara-France is also outstanding defensively with a 90% takedown defense and a 67% striking 'D.' In his last fight, Kara-France beat #15 ranked Tyson Nam in a unanimous decision while throwing 28 more significant strikes. His only loss in his last 10 bouts was to No. 2 ranked Brandon Moreno in a fight that went to the judges. Take Kai Kara-France to win the bout.

1 unit on Kai Kara-France -215 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.47)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
F
Brandon Royval img
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Kai Kara-France
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consensus consensus
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