32-year old Anthony Smith has lost two of his last three fights, and the last bout was ugly, getting whipped in May by Glover Teixeira. Smith was on his heels most of the bout and got outstruck 138 to 86. Smith is a good puncher but absorbs 4.57 significant strikes per minute, which will be a major headache against six-foot-five Aleksandar Rakic, who has has a ton of power. Rakic (4-1 in the UFC) is the No. 8 contender in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. His defense is strong all-around with an 88% takedown defense while absorbing 2.47 strikes per minute. He's never been knocked out, but is calling card is power on offense. He's a great striker, averaging 5.17 significant strikes. His last two wins were first-round KO/TKOs, along with four of his last six victories. For this bout, Rakic has a height advantage, is four years younger, a one-inch reach edge, more power, and superior defense. Take Aleksandar Rakic to win the fight.
This pick was released to clients on August 28, 2020 at 8:01PM ET.
FIGHT
Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic
August 29, 2020
11:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Aleksandar Rakic -250 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.4)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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