This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2020 at 4:55PM ET.
img FIGHT

Aleksei Oleinik vs. Derrick Lewis

August 8, 2020
img11:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a heavyweight battle between veterans with very different styles. 35-year old Derrick Lewis is favored, but he is 2-2 in his last four fights. That includes losing his title fight with Daniel Cormier and getting knocked out by Junior dos Santos. And even in his last two bouts, both wins, he hasn't been at his best. Lewis has had back issues in the past, plus he's susceptible to body shots. He's a puncher with seven losses in his career and only one submission victory. His defense is below average, with a 44 percent defense rate. Veteran Aleksei Oleinik is No. 10 in the heavyweight rankings. He's a dominant submission specialist. Of his 59 MMA career wins, 46 have come via submission. He can play defense standing up, averaging 3.72 significant strikes landed per minute with a 50 percent accuracy rate. However, grappling is his calling card, averaging 2.41 takedowns per 15 minutes. For this bout, Oleinik has a one-inch reach advantage and will ultimately take Lewis to the canvas, which will play to all his strengths. Take Aleksei Oleinik to win the fight.

1 unit on Aleksei Oleinik +170 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.7)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
F
Aleksei Oleinik
0
Derrick Lewis img
1
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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