Washington at San Diego

Washington won last night and is favored again but this team still has a losing road record. The Nationals are 1-4 in their last five road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Max Scherzer is throwing great, but he is just 3-3 and the Padres are 26-11 at home against a right-handed starter. Washington is also 11-4 UNDER the total with the total set at 6.5 or lower. San Diego probably has the best 1-6 pitcher in baseball history going in Andrew Casner (3.07 ERA). This guy has had a great season with 45 strikeouts in 44 innings and only 11 walks. Last season he had a 1.43 ERA at home in 75 innings, including a 1.50 ERA against Washington. Washington is a long way from home, 3,000 miles, and the Padres are 39-18 in their last 57 home games. The Padres are 6-2 when Cashner starts at home against a team with a winning record, plus they are 12-4-1 UNDER the total when Casner is a dog, as well as 12-5 UNDER when Cashner pitches in this stadium. And when these teams meet in this huge park the UNDER is 34-16-3. Take San Diego and play the game total UNDER.