Washington at Philadelphia

The Phillies have won 10 out of their last 11 and they certainly have the starting pitching advantage here. But Joe Blanton hasn't been stellar this year. He owns a mediocre 5.00 ERA and a 7-6 record. The Nats have a better bullpen. When facing good teams in the second half of the season, the Nationals are 15 and 13. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is just 6-11 since the All-Star break when facing teams under .460. The Nationals have been at their best this season following a loss when they have played .500 ball. As a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last two seasons, Philadelphia is just 10-14. Under Charlie Manuel, the Phillies are just 27-27 as a home favorite of -175 to -200. I like the value on Washington here.