Washington at New York

The Mets’ new home has proven to be quite the pitcher's park, with home runs hard to come by. The Mets are still missing integral pieces in the core of their lineup, and I believe this will be the year that Michael Pelfrey lives up to his billing as a big-time pitcher. The Nats’ offense often stalls on the road, leading to an 18-7-2 mark in their last 29 when featured as a road dog. The Mets are also 14-3-1 in their last 18 as a home favorite of -110 to -150, as well as being 17-4-1 to the UNDER vs. teams with a winning percentage of under .400. The UNDER gets the nod in this one.