Washington at Miami

Washington heads out on the road with an offense that is 25th in runs scored, 28th in slugging, and 23rd in steals, while the pitching is 17th in ERA, 24th in WHIP, and 24th in the bullpen (4.39 ERA). The Nationals are 26-61 after a victory, plus 14-37 against a lefty starter. Josiah Gray is a little heavy on the walks (19 in 45+ innings) and is 1-3 with a 4.96 ERA versus Miami. Washington is also 14-43 in Game 1 of a series, plus 41-75 versus a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Miami is eighth in the majors in steals and has won four of seven. The Marlins play their fourth consecutive home contest and have a good arm going in Jesus Luzardo, who has a 2.79 ERA at home. The Marlins are 9-1 when he starts at home after a win and Miami is on a 20-7 run against division rival Washington. Play the Miami Marlins.