Washington at Miami

The Mimai Marlins have really been swinging the bats well over their last 10 games or so, and since June 7, they are averaging 6.7 runs a contest while allowing just 4.3. That is a nearly 2.5-run advantage, and they have been elite lately. Washington has the better offense and pitching overall, but the Nats are not swinging the bat very well of late, nor are they getting the superb pitching you would expect from this squad. The Nats, over the same time period, are averaging just 4.83 runs a game while yielding 5.17. Sometimes the "worse" team in a game has a situational advantage over the course of a long season. And with Miami at home, and as a slight dog, the value rests firmly on the home team here. Make the play on Miami.