Washington at Miami

The Miami Marlins played as an improved team from a year ago, and have recently caught fire. They have won six straight games as an underdog. That may sound like a hard and difficult path to go against, but over the last 10 years a team that has won six consecutive games as an underdog have met with an ugly fate as they carry a -12.4% ROI if you choose to play on them and go with the hot hand. That rises to -14.3% if they are a dog again, which is the case here. And they are just 1-5 if they are a home dog. The Nationals have been great in the role of a road favorite where they are 57-28 in their last 85. This one goes against the hot team, so play on Washington.