Washington at Miami

A pair of weak offenses clash in Miami, a big park that is tough to score runs. Washington's offense is #20 in runs scored, 51-23-6 UNDER the total on the road. Starter Gio Gonzalez has already beaten Miami this month, 3-2, and the UNDER is 14-3 when he starts on natural grass, as well as an 8-2 run UNDER when he starts on the road. Gonzalez has a 1.93 ERA in 17 career starts against the Marlins. The Nationals are 33-17-3 UNDER the total on the road against losing teams, as well as 45-20-3 UNDER away versus a right-handed starter. Miami's offense is #27 in baseball in runs scored, #24 in on-base percentage, #29 in slugging. Marlins starter Trevor Richards is strong at home, with a 3.62 ERA. The UNDER is 18-8-2 when these division rivals clash in this park and this shapes up as another pitcher's duel. Back the UNDER.