Washington at Cleveland

Don't look now but the Indians have won four straight including wins at +160 and +185. We were on them at +185 a few days ago and will back them again as a big dog here. It's not often we can say this, but we get extra value here by fading a rookie pitcher. This line is jacked due to the phenom Strasburg. Everyone wants a piece of him, so we get extra line value by going the other way. Strasburg's team is just 12-21 on the road this season, but they are a prohibitive favorite against a hot team here? Overall the Nats are 18-29 the past three seasons as a favorite and 7-24 the past two seasons after a game in which they scored under 2 runs. I like Cleveland at this line here.