Washington at Baltimore

The Bird's are now 6-1 over their last seven games and the pitching has been a good share of the reason by holding opponents to 3.4 runs per game. Other than their success against the Mets, the Nats have been a dreadful road team for the past few years. They will enter this one with a 6-14 road mark in their last 20. Based on season stats, you could say the pitching matchup is a dead heat. The difference is hot team vs. bad road team, and the critical area is Washington's pen has yielded 1.6 runs after Hernandez leaves, while in Burres' last seven starts - just four runs have been given up. We'll take the Birds in this one.