Washington at Atlanta

Neither of these teams is playing very well right now but Atlatna starts John Smoltz who is 16-9 with a 2.74 lifetime ERA against the Nats. He's 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA at home this season and 38-9 as a favorite over -175 the past decade. During second half play, Smoltz is 22-5 the past two seasons. Pedro Astacio, on the other hand, is 5-8 with a 5.13 ERA vs. Atlanta. He's just 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA on the road this year. While the Braves struggle vs. lefties, they hit right-handed starters scoring 5.4 per game. Four or five Atlanta runs should do it in this one with Smoltz pitching.