Washington at Atlanta

Washington is just 7-12 on the season and favored here on the road. I like the home dog. Doug Fister has been been excellent this season, but he showed vulnerability the last time out, allowing five runs in six innings. The Nats are scoring only 3.4 runs per game this season which makes winning on the road a high hurdle. It's no wonder they are just 2-7 away from home this season. In his career, Fister is just 11-24 on the road in expected close games (line of -125 to +125). Take Atlanta.