Toronto at Texas

There's plenty of talent on offense, but don't overlook the power of the pitching staffs. Texas has a pair of aces and a great bullpen, while Toronto finished #12 in baseball in team ERA - fifth in the AL. The Rangers' bullpen had a string of 35+ scoreless innings come to an end in the regular-season finale. Texas rolls out ace Cole Hamels (15-5, 3.32 ERA), with 200 strikeouts in 200 innings. Texas is on an 8-3-2 run UNDER the total, plus four of their last five playoff games have gone UNDER as managers use their best arms this time of the season (except Buck Showalter). Into town comes Toronto, a strong all-around team, including defense in the field on a 20-7 run UNDER the total, as well as 23-9 UNDER on the road. The Blue Jays go with Marco Estrada (3.48 ERA), who has a 3.39 ERA on the road where batters hit .193 off him. He has been strong down the stretch, allowing a total of two runs in 19 innings over his final three starts. Estrada is a veteran who did some of his best work in the playoffs last season with a 2-1 record and a 2.33 ERA in three starts to go along with 15 strikeouts and one walk. One of those wins came at Texas, where Estrada breezed through 6+ innings on one run and five hits to help Toronto avoid elimination in Game 3 of a 5-1 win. The UNDER is 23-8 when Estrada faces a winning team, plus Toronto is 33-15-5 UNDER the total against a lefty starter. Play Toronto/Texas Game 1 to finish UNDER the total.