Toronto at Texas

Toronto has a losing road mark and ranks #25 in runs scored and #24 in on-base percentage. 33-year old starter Marco Estrada has a losing record and is off three horrible games, allowing 28 hits and 17 runs in 12+ innings. He has a 12.08 ERA in June. Texas is a home run happy park, and the Rangers are #11 in baseball in runs scored. Rangers righty Austin Bibens-Dirkx (3.28 ERA) has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his seven appearances. The Rangers are 11-2 at home against a team with a losing record, plus 35-19 at home when the money line is +125 to -125. Texas has also won seven of nine games with strong pitching everywhere, allowing an average of 2.4 runs allowed in the victories. And the Rangers are 37-17 at home versus a team with a losing road record. Play Texas.