Toronto at Tampa Bay

The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled all season long trying to push across runs vs a lefthand pitcher. The Jays are averaging just 3.7 runs a game against southpaws, while they plate five a contest vs righthanders. They not only face a lefthander tonight in this one, but one of the best in David Price. Price has a 3.01 ERA heading into this one, but he is much better at home where his ERA stands at 2.26 for the season. The Rays are going to have to do most of the scoring to push this one over the total, but it will be a tough task vs Shaun Marcum, who has allowed three earned runs or less in 189 of his 25 starts, or 76% of the time. The Rays are 27-13-1 to the UNDER at home vs a team with a losing record in their last 41. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.