Toronto at Tampa Bay

Toronto has incentive to win, battling Kansas City for home field, but they had that same incentive yesterday and lost 4-3. That's a 1-3 run these last four games, making Toronto a .500 road team for the season. Aging Mark Buehrle goes here, looking worn out down the stretch. He's allowed 18 runs and 34 hits his last five starts (27 innings) with Toronto 2-3 in those starts. In 2015, Tampa Bay has had no trouble hitting Mark Buehrle, with a 5.92 ERA against the Rays in 24 innings as Tampa Bay has hit .320 off him. The Blue Jays are 1-4 when Buehrle is on the road facing a team with a losing record. Tampa Bay is on a 5-1 run at home and has a talented young arm going in Matt Moore. He has limited his last three opponents to three runs with 19 strikeouts and three walks over 20+ innings combined, and is 5-1 against Toronto in this park. The Rays are 21-8 in Moore's last 29 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Toronto is also 23-52 at the Tropicana Dome, so grab home field. Play Tampa Bay.