Toronto at Tampa Bay

The Blue Jays are just 24-34 on the road this season and in division games they are downright awful, having gone 16-28 on the season, scoring only 4.0 runs per game. At home, the Rays rock. They are 37-19, scoring 5.6 runs per game. They have struggled recently having lost five of their last six, but they are off a win and this is a good game to keep the momentum going. Four of those five losses were on the road and the one loss at home came at the hands of Roy Halladay, so don't be too concerned about the recent performance. The Rays start Matt Garza who has a 3.80 overall ERA which drops to 3.29 at home. Marc Rzepczynski goes for Toronto and he's got a 1-3 record and 6.75 ERA over his last three starts. When the Jays are off 2+ straight road games this season, they are 18-30. Tampa Bay is 35-11 at home in day games the past two seasons and 37-8 as a home favorite of -150 to -180. There's great value on the Rays here, even at this price.