Toronto at Seattle

The Blue Jays were expected to be down this year after losing their top two pitchers over the course of two seasons. They have played over their heads, so the pendulum of value will start working against them. Ricky Romero has been tough in his 1+ years on the mound for the Jays, but the Mariners have solved his serves efficiently, to the tune of his 5.11 ERA against them in two career starts. Jason Vargas has matched him pitch for pitch this season with a 2.93 ERA with the M's playing six of his seven starts UNDER. The Jays are not scoring much vs. lefthanders at 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six, and just 2-5 in their last seven vs. port siders. The Mariners are 7-3 in Vargas' last 10 home starts. This series has seen just seven of the last 24 top the total, and the Jays are just 3-7 in their last 10 here. I like Seattle and the UNDER.