Toronto at New York

The Toronto Blue Jays have shut down the Yankees attack in this series, but they will have to face Masahiro Tanaka in the finale. The Yankees own a 25-10 record when he is on the mound in his short MLB career, and they are 14-4 at the Stadium when he takes the mound in his last 18 starts here for a 19% ROI. He has been a true stopper as the Yanks are 4-0 when he takes the mound if the team is off two losses. The Yanks have a much broader situation at hand here, one that is 84-34 with a 28.1% ROI the last 12 years, and the Yanks fit into a tidy subset based on the line that is 16-1. The Yankees are hard to sweep at home as they are 28-7 in the last 12 years in Game 3, as a favorite, if they lost Games 1 and 2. Make the play on the New York Yankees.