Toronto at Minnesota

Toronto is in the thick of the AL Wild Card but they just lost two of three in a showdown against first-place Tampa Bay. This is a step down for the Jays against a struggling Minnesota squad, and everyone on this team knows how little room there is for error. The Blue Jays are on a 19-7 run, including 10-3 on the road. The offense is third in the majors in runs scored, fourth in on-base percentage, and No. 1 in slugging, while the pitching staff is eighth in ERA (3.89). Southpaw Steven Matz has a 9-4 record away from home with a 3.68 ERA and the Blue Jays are 35-16 against losing teams. Minnesota's offense is #16 in runs scored, #18 in on-base percentage, while the pitching staff is #27 in team ERA (4.88). The Twins are 13-25 at home versus teams that average 1.25+ homers, plus 17-34 against lefty starters. Play Toronto.